42 YEARS OF CHANGE
In A Turkish Village:
Causality & Consequence
By
A Dissertation Submitted In Partial Fulfillment Of The Requirements
For The Degree Of
MA In Social Anthropology And Computing
University Of Kent Of Canterbury
1998
Date 10-7-98
Word Length 12000
In 1949 Paul Stirling and his wife Margaret set off to conduct anthropological fieldwork in Turkey. They studied two central Anatolian villages in particular, Sakaltutan and Elbasi. Over the next 20 years Ataturk's new republic underwent rapid transformations and when, in 1971, Stirling went back to the villages, he was astounded at the changes he found. He maintains that although the changes he observed were multiple & complex, there were identifiable casual agencies, both physical and conceptual, which were effecting these changes. He tried to outline what he thought these were and in doing so formulated various 'models' of social processes. One of his main conclusions was that the migration22 of labour had had a great impact on social life both on the villages and on the Turkish republic as a whole.
In this thesis I will investigate the relationship between the conceptual 'models' one particular anthropologist has constructed, and the data from which these constructions were derived. I am in essence asking "Do anthropologists ever get it right?" I will mainly concentrate on Stirling's data concerning Sakaltutan. As well as evaluating his insights into the changes that have occurred in this village over the last 42 years, I will show that causal theories, models, & the use of a variety of computer based tools can provide new, valuable and 'grounded' insights into changes in social organisations.
Scope and method of the study:
I will consider Stirling's ethnography; films, photographic materials, field notes & database, and analyse his models of change. Specifically I will analyse his primary census data covering 37 years and by analysing & preparing aspects of his models for simulation try to assess their 'substance'.
The results and conclusions will, as well as being written up in the conventional manner, be made available over the internet in an attempt to demonstrate the academic advantages of this publishing medium. It facilitates a much fuller record of the data and analysis than would be otherwise possible and opens up the doors for cost effective international collaborative research based upon the same source materials.
Appreciation goes out to:
To The 'Folks & Family';
"You're the best!"
Kidlet, Don't you dare go off to the antarctic without me!
To Paul and Mike;
You have rekindled my interest and deepened my understanding of science.
A rare gift in this world.
To 'Keyworth' Sanctuary,
home of the brave, land of the free, party on
and thanks for doing the washing!
&
Katja;
For being a virtual stroker
To Everyone else that helped along the way - Thanks!
Wouldn't have made it without you!
To Paul
1998 Steve Wilson,
Thanks to CSAC, Dept. of
Anthropology, UKC.
Doc. Original :
Font Times 10 pt, 12 pt; Helvetica 12pt, 14pt;
L.M. = 4.0cm; R.M. = 1.5cm
Body Text Line spacing 1.5 lines (21pt).
© A Steve Publication: 1998
© Weberisedô by Leggit Publications: 1998
Purpose of the study:
Scope and method of the study:
Conclusions:
Acknowledgments
Dedication
Table of Contents
Notes on Notation
List of Figures
List of Tables
Chapter One
Data & Analysis
Finding a Metric: Indexes: Ethnography & Database.
Formalising the model
TheTheory Behind The Model
Proto Sim 1 - Stirlingís MigrationsDefine variables and constants
Program Body
Rules / decisions
Definition of Causality:
Causality II
Systems Theory
World View
Principia Cybernetica
Stirlingís Publications
Summary of Notes on Land Inheritance
Two Characteristics of the Domestic Cycle
Two Characteristics of the Distribution of Power
Surplus of Land Model
Scarcity of Land Model
Notes on Marriage
The 'Meaningí of the 'Wiring Diagram Boxes'
Supplementary Village Data
Useful Turkish Village Pages:
Genealogy Data
Ingres 'LifeHistí Data Base Documentation
Occupations Abbreviations
DB Data Dictionary
Migration Sim1
Programs used in the construction of dissertation & website.
CDROMS
Hardware
Web Site Details
Works Dairy
Help
Notes on notation:
In the following dissertation footnotes are in brackets [1] Whilst endnotes are in bold subscript2,
appendices are indicated where necessary. Text in Blue
provides hyper links to other documents of interest.
Fig. 1
Sakaltutan
Fig. 2 The
'Wiring Diagramí
Fig. 3
Causal Chain 1
Fig. 4 Causal Chain
2
Fig. 5
Causal Chain 3
Fig. 6
1950 MF Age Hist. Bin = 1
Fig. 7
1950 MF Age Hist. Bin = 5
Fig. 8
1950 M Age Hist. Bin = 5
Fig. 9
1950 F Age Hist. Bin = 5
Fig. 10
1971 MF Age Hist. Bin = 5
Fig. 11
1971 M Age Hist. Bin = 5
Fig. 12
1971 F Age Hist. Bin = 5
Fig. 13
1986 MF Age Hist. Bin = 5
Fig. 14
Aggregated Comparative MF Age Hist. Bin = 5
Fig. 15
Comparative M / F Age Hist. Bin = 5
Fig. 16
M Offset Comparative Age Hist. Bin = 5
Fig. 17
F Offset Comparative Age Hist. Bin = 5
Fig. 18
F Offset Comparative Age Line Hist. Bin = 5
Fig. 19
M Offset Comparative Age Line Hist. Bin = 5
Fig. 20
Village / Migrant Stats.
Fig. 21
Sakaltutan Land Stats.
Fig. 22
Land Distribution Stats.
Fig. 23
Ethnographic Stats.
Model 1.Sim
- The Next Stage
Model 2.
Sim - The Basic Model
Fig. 24 Village /
Migrant Census Stats
Fig. 25 Sim Vs Census
Index Migrantion Stats
Fig. 26 Sim Vs Real
Smooth Results
Fig. 27 Sim Vs Real
Point Results
Fig. 27a Sim Data Trial
1
Fig. 28 Sim App.
Frontend
Fig. 29 Sim App.
Frontend Trial 1 Results
Fig. 30 Sim App. Output
Graphs Trial 1
Fig. 31 Visual Café Development Environment
Table 1 Migant
Movements Sakaltutan 1950
Table 2 Village
Income Breakdown Sk 1950
Table 3 Migrant
Experiences 1950 - 86
Table 4 Migrant
Movements - Elbaßi 1950 91
Table 5 Expected
Cereal Harvests: Sakaltutan I950
Table 6 Land Distribution
Sakaltutan 1950
Table 7 HouseHolds
& populations, Sakaltutan 1950